Monday Morning Quarterback
By BOP Staff
April 13, 2009
Reagen Sulewski: I think comparing this to the grab bag of films that have done well on Easter in past years is kind of a red herring. These films are slightly gimmicky films and are made to capitalize on trends while the iron is hot. That this particular group appears to be on the way down is only a sign that its core audience is aging (and when your young star sounds like she's been drinking whiskey for 20 years and smoking Pall Malls by the truckload, that's not a great sign either). So I take the tack that Disney should be congratulated for getting out of these products what they can while they could.
Kim Hollis: I'm with Reagen. I was thinking this would be a low $20 million opener, and it surpassed those expectations (and all tracking) by a significant amount. While I don't know how much impact the Jonas brothers had, I do think that Miley had dipped as far as popularity levels. Kids just outgrow these fads, and a year is a long time in that world.Ashley Tisdale is putting a voodoo curse on us for not discussing her.Kim Hollis: Do you expect Miley Cyrus and Zac Efron to do better over the next few years at the box office than the most recent Disney graduate, Hilary Duff did?
Josh Spiegel: I think that for Miley Cyrus, it's too early to tell. She's got the bigger chance of becoming the next Hilary Duff, thanks to the fact that she's associated with only one character. Zac Efron, while not exactly a versatile actor, has branched out...a bit. I'm curious to see how well 17 Again does, but he's got more to gain than Cyrus does. Until she plays someone not named Montana, it's too early to tell and, potentially, not a good sign for her future career.
Brandon Scott: Ultimately, they really can't do worse. Duff flamed out, I believe, since I can't think of anything that SHE anchored to any amount of success (not that this is surprising). I think they both stand a good chance to do better, but I don't think either breaks into a major star category based on the early results. I don't think 17 Again does well, so Cyrus really is the bigger wild-card. It's so easy for a child star (if that's what we want to label them) to get typecast into a role that defined them as a youth, and therefore, never really do much outside of that realm. I dont think Hudgens breaks into major stardom, either...the odds are just not in their favor, it seems. They could only hope to be as respected as, say, a Ryan Gosling has become.
Sean Collier: It's simple - whoever redefines their career first wins. If Efron does some low-buget indie thing once he's released from Disney's chains, he'll be fine. If Miley turns up in barely-more-than-direct-to-DVD romcoms ten years from now, she's done. The name of the game is "Diversify."
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