Monday Morning Quarterback Part I

By BOP Staff

July 6, 2009

One of these guys is happy. The other one...not so much.

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Tim Briody: This is about even (before inflation) with what The Meltdown earned in three days in 2006. But that was March and this was a holiday weekend. There was an opening-to-final multiplier of 2.87 for The Meltdown as it finished short of $200 million. I would think it being July that will help it a little bit in the legs department so it'll eke over $200 million, which is ahead of Monsters vs. Aliens and but still behind Up and there's nothing wrong with that.

Josh Spiegel: I think that, like Monsters vs. Aliens, Ice Age 3 is going to get so close to $200 million, but miss it by a hair. With the sixth Harry Potter movie coming out in just over a week, and the ridiculous-looking G-Force stealing away its 3-D screens (and as terrible as it looks, I fear that movie will do much better than it ought to), Ice Age is looking at a lot more competition than did MvA. I'd say it'll hit around $195 million; the possibility of it passing $200 million is there, but I don't think these furry creatures have it in them.

Sean Collier: This question is all about Harry Potter - I think we've got a major blow coming Ice Age's way. The good news is that it'll have a pretty big haul by then. I wouldn't be surprised if it limped to $200 million.

Jim Van Nest: Count me in the group that thinks less than $200 million domestic for this one. It'll have some decent returns over the next week or so, as people who didn't get out over the 4th will catch up...but once Potter hits I think Ice Age wil lbe forgotten. In relation to Up and Monsters Vs Aliens, I think Ice Age finishes third. And that's not a bad thing, as reviews would tend to have Ice age finishing third in quality as well. Color me odd, but I always like to see it when the success of a group of films is in direct proportion to the quality of those films.




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Daron Aldridge: That's not odd at all. Isn't that we are all wishing for every weekend - that the good will outperform the dreck? As evidenced by the many proclamations from this group that we'd like to see Transformers peter out quicker than it's doing.

Jason Lee: I agree with Sean and Jim - this will finish behind both Up and Monsters. It was already combating the "second fiddle" syndrome in its opening weekend against Transformers 2 and with the onset of the teen wizard, I'm afraid that the legs on this one will not be nearly as good as franchise's previous spring releases.

Reagen Sulewski: Just to expand a bit on what people are saying here - naturally as a sequel, there's not going to be as much "new and shiny" feeling as compared to a well-marketed creation like Up or MvA. Whereas people would come out of that telling others that "you've got to see this movie", people know what they're getting with Ice Age 3. If you're interested, you went. If you're not, not much would get you to go.


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