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As for my predictions, I had a pretty good year, with 81/102 (almost 80%) rate. I nailed the three "feature film" categories--Foreign Language, Documentary, and Animated, as well as Film Editing, Actor, Supporting Actress, and Screenplay.

Some early predictions: Will tying the record hurt La La Land? The easy and obvious answer is that it will not. The movie is about Hollywood, and the insularity mentioned above is now in full display. La La Land will win Picture, Director, Actress, Screenplay, Editing, Score, Song, Costumes, and Cinematography at the very least, probably also Sound Mixing and Editing, taking it to 11 Oscars. Art Direction seems the iffiest.

Moonlight will probably win Adapted Screenplay and Supporting Actor, while Manchester will take Best Actor. Best Supporting Actress will likely go to Viola Davis, Foreign Film to Toni Erdmann, Animated to Zootopia and Documentary to O.J.. That's about all the categories except Visual Effects and Make-Up, and the shorts.

The full list of nominees follows:

Best Foreign Language Film
Land of Mine (Denmark)
A Man Called Ove (Sweden)
The Salesman (Iran)
Tanna (Australia)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Best Documentary Feature Film
Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
Life, Animated
O.J.: Made in America
13th

Best Animated Feature Film
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

Best Make-Up And Hairstyling
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond
Suicide Squad

Best Visual Effects
Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One

Best Sound Mixing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Best Sound Editing
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully

Best Original Song
“Audition” – La La Land
“Can’t Stop the Feeling” – Trolls
“City of Stars” – La La Land
“The Empty Chair” – Jim: The James Foley Story
“How Far I’ll Go” – Moana

Best Original Score
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Passengers

Best Costume Design
Allied
Fantastic Beasts
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie
La La Land

Best Production Design
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Passengers

Best Cinematography
Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence

Best Film Editing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Moonlight

Best Original Screenplay
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea
20th Century Women

Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel – Lion
Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis – Fences
Naomie Harris – Moonlight
Nicole Kidman – Lion
Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

Best Actor
Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling – La La Land
Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington – Fences

Best Actress
Isabelle Huppert – Elle
Ruth Negga – Loving
Natalie Portman – Jackie
Emma Stone – La La Land
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins

Best Director
Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
Denis Villeneueve – Arrival

Best Picture
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Manchester by the Sea

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