Weekend Forecast for June 16-18, 2017
By Reagen Sulewski
June 15, 2017
Killed at the age of 25, rapper Tupac Shakur remains a legendary figure in the world of music. All Eyez On Me attempts to tell the story of his brief but influential life in what appears to be a pretty dire biopic. Relative unknown Demetrius Shipp Jr. (an amazing look-alike) plays Shakur from his early days in New York to his rise to the top of the West Coast rap scene. While producers are likely hoping for something similar to Straight Outta Compton, this seems to be much less conventional compared to that movie, but also much less good, going surface level only into the complex life. Reviews peg it as “melodrama” and “TV movie quality,” meaning that it'll attract hardcore fans only, and maybe not even them, as they'll likely know the story better than the movie. I'd expect a solid opening weekend of $14 million based on just the name recognition of its subject, but the acclaim that drove Compton to an Oscar nomination just isn't here.
In almost the same weekend as last year's The Shallows, 47 Meters Down returns to the shark attack genre. Mandy Moore and Claire Holt play sisters trapped deep underwater in a shark cage after the cable snaps, too far down for direct communication by radio signal, deep enough that nitrogen narcosis would set in if they just swam for it, and surrounded by hungry great whites. And that's basically it, as it attempts to be the Apollo 13 of shark films, just... cheaper. There's a bit of cheapness to the film's look, and with reviews not highlighting much to look forward to, I'd expect a small opening weekend of around $8 million.
Wonder Woman should have another solid weekend, its third, albeit falling to Pixar in the box office charts. A 43 per cent drop qualifies as “legs” these days for a superhero film, and this is finally something DC Films can feel good about, leading into Justice League. I'd look for about $31 million here as it makes a play at $400 million domestic.
The Mummy was something of a disaster for its remake, what with its high profile star and hopes that it would anchor a new franchise. A $31 million opening against a $125 million budget is terrible, especially given the horrible reviews for the film. A massive drop to around $14 million seems in store, and a sub $100 million domestic total.
A couple of other films attempt to hang around this weekend, though Captain Underpants should lose a lot of ground to Cars 3, dropping to about $5 million, and Pirates of the Caribbean 5 loses ground to being awful, grossing about the same.
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Forecast: Weekend of June 16-18, 2017
|
Rank |
Film |
Number of
Sites |
Changes in Sites
from Last |
Estimated
Gross ($) |
|
1
|
Cars 3
|
4,256
|
New
|
57.8
|
|
2
|
Wonder Woman
|
4,018
|
-147
|
31.2
|
|
3
|
Rough Night
|
3,162
|
New
|
19.2
|
|
4
|
All Eyez On Me
|
2,471
|
New
|
14.5
|
|
5
|
The Mummy
|
4,034
|
-1
|
13.4
|
|
6
|
47 Meters Down
|
2,300
|
New
|
8.0
|
|
7
|
Captain Underpants: The First Movie
|
2,968
|
-591
|
5.4
|
|
8
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
|
2,759
|
-920
|
5.0
|
|
9
|
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2
|
1,813
|
-1,098
|
4.0
|
|
10
|
It Comes At Night
|
2,450
|
-83
|
2.9
|
Continued:
1
2
|
|
|
|
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