Weekend Forecast for July 14-16, 2017

By Reagen Sulewski

July 14, 2017

The little known Polar Chimp...

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Also starring Holly Hunter and Ray Romano, it's not a film that's running off star power, which also gives it a chance to be something of a leggy film, as it can beat expectations. Its start should be fairly low, though, with around $11 million.

Indie horror film Wish Upon presents us with about the umpteenth version of the “careful what you wish for/monkey's paw” story to hit the big screen, to decreasing effectiveness. Joey King stars as an unpopular teen whose father (Ryan Phillippe, man, we're old) presents her with a magic box that grants wishes. She uses these wishes to vault up the social ladder with wealth and power and friends, and nothing can go wrong from there, right? Right?

And that's when the killings began. The consequences of getting everything you want are terrible and unimaginable, so it would have us feel, and this leads her to try and rid herself of the accursed thing before it's too late and she loses everything she actually care about in gruesome and blood-spattery ways.

Reviews savage the film as trite and unimaginative, and probably worse, that it's far too tame for real horror fans. With these factors in mind and a weaker studio to support it, it's probably headed for a meager weekend of around $6 million.




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Spider-Man: Homecoming surpassed some expectations with a $117 million weekend, which 15 years later surpasses the original Spidey movie's opening weekend, which really kicked off this run of comic movies. Spider-Man 3 still holds the opening weekend record for this character, but I don't think anyone's really pointing at that as an object to emulate, and Homecoming really represents a reformation of the character's reputation. Bringing Spidey back into the Marvel fold and the MCU has revitalized his power as a box office figure, and proves that you just need people who care about story and character. Legs will be hard, considering the initial buzz kicked in before opening weekend, but a strongish $63 million should be in store.

Despicable Me 3 took a tumble with a $33 million weekend in its second frame, as fanaticism over Minions gives way to yawns over Gru. While we will see Minions 2, I have my doubts about Despicable Me 4. Give this $15 million this weekend on its way to a little under $200 million domestic.

Baby Driver, meanwhile, showed something in the way of legs with a drop of a little more than a third. The stylish heist flick has an outside shot at $100 million now if it can keep this up, giving Edgar Wright his first huge hit as a director. Give it about $8 million this weekend. Wonder Woman keeps on going as well, and should find about $7 million this frame as it strides towards a possible $400 million domestic.


Forecast: Weekend of July 14-16, 2017
Rank
Film
Number of
Sites
Changes in Sites
from Last
Estimated
Gross ($)
1 War for the Planet of the Apes 4,022 New 77.3
2 Spider-Man: Homecoming 4,348 0 62.7
3 Despicable Me 3 4,155 -350 15.2
4 The Big Sick 2,597 +2,271 11.3
5 Baby Driver 3,043 -183 7.8
6 Wonder Woman 2,744 -347 6.0
7 Wish Upon 2,250 New 5.8
8 Cars 3 2,049 -653 2.8
9 Transformers: The Last Knight 2,323 -918 2.7
10 The House 1,633 -1,501 2.4

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