Friday Box Office Analysis

By Tim Briody

October 4, 2008

I'm king of the world! Ah ha ha!

New at BOP:
Share & Save
Digg Button  
Print this column
Hollywood threw a lot of stuff against the wall this weekend. Click to find out what stuck.

Beverly Hills Chihuahua

This should not come as a surprise, but leading gigantic pack of new releases this weekend is Beverly Hills Chihuahu with $7.9 million on Friday. Considering there's been pretty much nothing out there for kids and families for a couple of months now (sorry Igor), this was bound to happen. Beverly Hills Chihuahua will win the weekend quite easily, with $25.3 million.

Nick and Nora's Infinite Playlist

The teen/20-something date movie of the week comes in third on Friday with a decent $4.3 million. I don't see this as having had a big Friday rush factor and I think it will perform pretty strongly on Saturday, with Eagle Eye the only thing threatening to take its audience, and a lot of them probably saw that last weekend. Call it $12.7 million.

Appaloosa

After a couple of solid weekends in limited release, Ed Harris' western Appaloosa makes the leap to 1,045 theaters this weekend and comes in fourth on Friday with $1.6 million. Last year's 3:10 To Yuma was the most recent western that saw wide release and it earned a 3.0 weekend multiplier when it led the box office for a weekend in September. That's as good as anything to use for Appaloosa, which should end up with $4.8 million.

An American Carol

Further down the list, we have An American Carol, made by a bunch of right-wing Hollywood types. It did find an audience on its 1,639 screens Friday, as it places tied with two holdovers for seventh with $1.2 million. If you like Michael Moore parodies (completely topical, Fahrenheit 9/11 was only four years ago now), this is the movie for you! It should finish the weekend with $3.2 million.




Advertisement



Religulous

On something of the opposite end of the political spectrum as An American Carol, Bill Maher's documentary Religulous, on a mere 502 theaters, places tenth, earning $1.1 million. Per screen wise, this is a much, much better performance than the aformentioned film, which definitely makes it something to watch over the next week or two. For this weekend, give Religulous ninth with $3.4 million.

And The Rest

Three films opening on more than 1,000 screens failed to make the top ten Friday, with Blindless earning $730,000, Flash of Genius making $710,000 and How to Lose Friends and Alienate People coming in with $470,000. None of these will make the leap into the top ten and will vanish quickly.

Notable Holdovers

Last week's champ Eagle Eye is off 44% to $5.5 million. A decent second weekend is in store for the Shia LaBeouf thriller, with around $17.1 million.

Last week's big surprise, Fireproof, falls 46%, which, all things considered, isn't bad at all. Also, for those lucky enough to have both films playing, BOP highly recommends a double feature of Fireproof and Religulous. Look for a second weekend of $3.7 million.


Projected Estimates for the Top Ten (Three-Day)
Projected
Rank
Film
Estimated Gross
1 Beverly Hills Chihuahua 25.3
2 Eagle Eye 17.1
3 Nick and Nora's Inifinite Playlist 12.7
4 Nights In Rodanthe 7.6
5 Appaloosa 4.8
6 Burn After Reading 4.5
7 Lakeview Terrace 4.4
8 Fireproof 3.7
9 Religulous 3.4
10 An American Carol 3.2

     


 
 

Need to contact us? E-mail a Box Office Prophet.
Thursday, October 31, 2024
© 2024 Box Office Prophets, a division of One Of Us, Inc.