Friday Box Office Analysis
by Tim Briody
September 28, 2013
Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs 2
Animated sequel Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs 2 starts off with $9.3 million, which is a nice start. There hasn't been an animated entry since Planes nearly two months ago, so Meatballs 2 is also benefiting from some demand for something family friendly. It's actually been four years since the first entry, which started with $8.1 million in September 2009 and finished with a $30.3 million weekend. Expect as strong a Saturday here as the original had, which would power it to a $34.6 million weekend.
Rush
Ron Howard's Rush expands into wide release with a bit of a thud, earning only $3.7 million. Despite strong reviews, the Chris Hemsworth film couldn't find mass appeal, probably because the subject matter just isn't appealing enough. Give it a weekend of $11.4 million.
Don Jon
Joseph Gordon-Levitt's Don Jon earns $3.3 million on Friday, an okay start for his directorial debut. The good reviews and appealing leads should be good for a few extra bucks as it makes the best date night option of the weekend, so look for it to start with a weekend of $9.5 million.
Baggage Claim
The African-American targeted romantic comedy Baggage Claim started with $3.2 million, just fine for a targeted, niche demographic film in just 2,000 theaters. Let's just give it a not terrible weekend of $8.9 million and call it good.
Metallica: Through the Never
With the bottom half of the box office consisting mostly of driftwood, an IMAX concert film featuring Metallica was able to crash the top ten with $783,000 in 308 theaters. By the end of the weekend, it will be the most successful Metallica film ever (their 2004 documentary, Some Kind of Monster, earned $1.2 million in limited release). A weekend of about $2.3 million is pretty darn good.
Prisoners
Last weekend's winner drops 51.2% to $3.4 million, which was probably to be expected considering the darker subject matter. The Hugh Jackman/Jake Gyllenhaal film should come in with a second weekend of about $11 million.
Projected Estimates for the Top Ten (Three-Day)
|
Projected Rank |
Film |
Estimated Gross |
1
|
Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs 2
|
34.6
|
2
|
Rush
|
11.4
|
3
|
Prisoners
|
11.0
|
4
|
Don Jon
|
9.5
|
5
|
Baggage Claim
|
8.9
|
6
|
Insidious Chapter 2
|
6.1
|
7
|
The Family
|
3.5
|
8
|
Instructions Not Included
|
3.0
|
9
|
We're the Millers
|
2.8
|
10
|
Metallica: Through The Never
|
2.3
|
|
|
|
|