Friday Box Office Analysis
By Tim Briody
April 1, 2006
Today is April Fool's Day, but the Ice Age sequel is no joke.
Ice Age: The Meltdown
The sequel to the 2002 hit opened to an outstanding $21.6 million Friday, or more than the next nine films combined. This is a legitimate monster, as things really should improve over the rest of the weekend. Ice Age opened with $13.7 million Friday en route to a $46.3 million weekend, a Friday to Sunday multiplier of 3.36. Even with the big increase, I don't see any reason why The Meltdown wouldn't duplicate that feat. That would give it an amazing weekend figure of $72.5 million.
ATL
A surprising second among the openers this weekend is the urba- themed ATL. With $4.6 million Friday, it's off to a very good start. It should have a fairly standard 2.8 multiplier, good for a $12.8 million weekend.
Slither
The horror boom appears to be coming to an end. Slither comes in at a mere $1.4 million Friday. These movies never seem to have very good weekend multipliers, so we'll give Slither a 2.7, which would give it a disappointing $3.6 million for the weekend.
Basic Instinct 2
The ridiculously late sequel opened to $1.1 million. Figure about $3 million and a lot of jokes at its expense in BOP's Monday Morning Quarterback column.
Notable Holdovers
Inside Man fell a rather surprising 48.9% from a week ago. If it weren't for Ice Age singlehandedly saving the box office this weekend, this is where the tirade about finally getting a quality movie to see in the theater would go, but we'll save that one for later. Give it a weekend total of around $15.6 million.
Projected Estimates for the Top Ten (Three-Day)
|
Projected Rank |
Film |
Estimated Gross |
1
|
Ice Age: The Meltdown
|
72.5
|
2
|
Inside Man
|
15.6
|
3
|
ATL
|
12.8
|
4
|
Failure to Launch
|
6.9
|
5
|
V For Vendetta
|
6.3
|
6
|
Stay Alive
|
4.9
|
7
|
She's the Man
|
4.8
|
8
|
Slither
|
3.6
|
9
|
Larry the Cable Guy: Health Inspector
|
3.0
|
10
|
Basic Instict 2
|
2.8
|
|
|
|
|