Monday Morning Quarterback Part I
By BOP Staff
June 6, 2011
David Mumpower: I agree and disagree with Tom. I believe he's correct to say that the previous two X-Men films are disliked, but I disagree with his assertion that First Class can earn $250 million domestically. I consider Reagen's $150 million projection much more in line with expectations here. I understand the philosophy that the quality of the film could carry it to greater heights; however, I agree with Edwin that the Batman Begins comparison is a bit overstated. Nobody is raving about the X-Men prequel the same way they did with the Christopher Nolan Batman reboot. First Class is well regarded, but we shouldn't get carried away about its perception. I'm not sure it's any more popular than Thor, which has earned about $105 million after opening weekend.
Circling back to the initial question, a movie with a $160 million production cost that is looking at box office of about $160 million domestically isn't anything to get excited about. Given the expansion of international revenue over the past two years, it's entirely possible that the title falls in the same $375-$460 million range as the previous three X-Men titles. Based on what we have seen thus far, I don't see this as anything resembling a win for Fox, though.
Kim Hollis: X-Men: First Class has already made $120 million globally. Do you think that's enough to justify a quick sequel, or would Fox be better served to try a Magneto origins film? Or do you think they'll do something else entirely?
Bruce Hall: After the debacle that was Wolverine, I won't be surprised if this "Origins" idea quietly dies on the vine. At least, I hope it does. Then again, Michael Fassbender really was one of the best things about First Class, and I can't say I wouldn't be intrigued to see a film centering around his character's next move after the Cuban Missile Crisis. Maybe Magneto started the Vietnam War? The possibilities are, for better or worse, endless.
Reagen Sulewski: Admittedly not having seen First Class yet, but doesn't this do the job of any Origins film you could hope to make? Wouldn't you be re-retreading ground? I feel like audiences are kind of bored with origin stories anyway - just get us into the action.
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