Monday Morning Quarterback Part III
By BOP Staff
May 7, 2015
Michael Lynderey: I think there's a chance they've peaked. I'm not sure any movie can open with $207 million for a while, although I could be very wrong. Captain America: Civil War, a de facto Avengers film (most of them are back), will likely open at around $150 million. But an issue for the next two official Avengers films is that much of the superhero line-up is going to be very different than what it is today. Popular characters like Captain America and Iron Man may not be around, although, on the other hand, those films will almost certainly have a massive asset: Spider-Man. If he's a major part of both of the back-to-back Avengers films, as I expect he will be, that could change the film's performance in radical ways.
We shall see.
Ryan Kyle: Michael raises a great point. I think the momentum is just fine. What will determine if the future Avengers films will top the $207M opening weekend benchmark is how well received the Phase 3 characters are and which ones are incorporated into the "Civil War"-plot. The original Avengers was a special film, because it did something that was never done before in having so many famed characters crossover into one movie. If you add some new blood into the Avengers that has meaning to it (Spider-Man, Wolverine, Guardians of the Galaxy), then maybe that record can be topped once again.
David Mumpower: My vote is that they haven't peaked. It's not because I'm particularly jazzed about Black Panther or Captain Marvel, either. In fact, I'm openly scoffing at Ant-Man, which I cannot believe they're playing straight rather than as a goofy comedy. What I see as its primary advantage moving forward is that there are better stories in the offing. Ryan alludes to Civil War, which is the Batman Vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice premise, only without the presumed swerve where they become allies. Captain America and Iron Man are about to fight, and that will sell a lot of tickets. Then, Marvel follows that up with an epic two-film Avengers saga that concludes almost 20 movies worth of stories. Those three projects have much more commercial premises, and I see them as regaining any momentum temporarily lost by Age of Ultron. I do think it's funny that a much less successful film, Guardians of the Galaxy, will be remembered as a much bigger hit than Avengers 2, though.
Max Braden: I think the ensemble format may have grown to big for its own good. Too many characters dividing up screen time doesn't offer much opportunity for depth. I do think the solo movies will continue to grow, especially Captain America's next installment. Also I think there will be strong interest in the first-timer characters like Ant-Man, Doctor Strange, and Black Panther. The individual movies allow audiences to experience more of the same and something new at the same time. I just with there would be even more, with the Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. TV characters moving into the theatrical releases.
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